according to prest, another possible scenario would be to have findlay’s husband, surrey south mla brent chapman, to step aside. but they appear to view themselves as a team at the centre of the party, so that is unlikely to happen.
“it is going to be a decision to watch closely for those who support both chapman and findlay. i think it’s understandable that he need not step aside because he can be clearly a strong support to his spouse in caucus,” said prest.
“but it also is perhaps going to rub some the wrong way, if there’s a sense that someone else is being compelled to step aside instead of chapman. so the internal politics are important here as well.”
what is the timing of a byelection?
once an mla has stepped down, eby has six months to call a byelection, although the conservatives are likely hoping the premier is magnanimous and calls the byelection right away.
campaigns for byelections in b.c. last 28 days, with final count coming at least four days after voting day.
prest believes the best time to hold a byelection would be in the fall, as voters will likely not be paying much attention to politics during the summer.
“that seems like a reasonable time to schedule it, but then again, perhaps the government is not in a mood to be reasonable, so they may drag things out, or they may just want to get on with the politics as usual and do it sooner rather than later.”
what impact will this have on the ndp?
a byelection gives the government an opportunity to strengthen its one-seat majority and deny the new conservative leader a seat, potentially setting the party back and preventing findlay’s leadership from getting off the ground.
ndp house leader mike farnworth accused findlay of causing division within her own ranks rather than working toward calling a byelection, pointing to her comments during the leadership campaign that kamloops centre mla and leadership opponent peter milobar would have be in a conflict of interest as party leader given his wife is indigenous.