but in 2026-27, the first year of any new deal he might sign, he’ll be 36, and what we can say with certainty is it’s rare for 36-year-old d-men to play strong two-way hockey at the nhl level. most of them at that age have been so slowed by age and injury that they’ve retired. only two or three still play top level hockey.
in 2024-25, there were just eight 35-year-old d-men in the nhl. of those, just two, chris tanev and ryan mcdonagh, played at full season at near peak levels of play. two others, jared spurgeon and drew doughty, played well but were out with injury much of the year. the others — luke schenn, brendan smith, ian cole and robert bortuzzo — were ok-to-iffy.
as mentioned, ekholm will be 35 next year. one hopes he can be like tanev or mcdonagh and thrive all year as a two-way player. but the odds start to work against him now in the final year of his contract.
if he were to sign a new deal, it would be for when he’s 36 and possibly older, if the oilers gave him term. just eight d-men 36-years and older played in the nhl last year and just two of them, brent burns and kris letang, were top 4 d-men on their teams.
the odds start to get daunting if you’re counting on a 36-year-old d-man to play solid two-way hockey in a top 4 role.