pcs lead in nepean, according to early election poll
the riding had been held by lisa macleod since 2006.
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ontario election riding profile cover - nepean (graphic: sofia misenheimer)
nepean progressive conservative candidate alex lewis is the front-runner in the riding for the feb. 27 provincial election, according to a poll conducted by mainstreet research on feb. 5.
the poll of 507 adults in the nepean district, a seat that had been held by outgoing ontario cabinet minister lisa macleod since 2006, showed that lewis had support of 33.5 per cent of respondents.
liberal candidate tyler watt was favoured by 27.5 per cent, followed by max blair of the ndp (6.9 per cent) and shelagh mcleran of the green party (1.7 per cent).
the undecided count was 26.5 per cent.
the mainstreet poll was conducted via both landlines and cellphones, across all age groups and economic backgrounds and carries a plus/minus error of 4.4 per cent.
the poll is roughly in line with party leanings across ontario, according to a mainstreet survey of more than 1,200 respondents across the province, conducted between feb. 3 and feb. 5.
that survey showed 32 per cent would support pc leader doug ford and 23.5 per cent favouring liberal leader bonnie crombie. the ndp, headed by marit stiles, was favoured by 15 per cent of poll respondents.
the undecided count was 22 per cent.
the nepean riding includes the ever-expanding barrhaven and bells corners districts and boasts a population of 132,000, according to the 2021 census.
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the breakdown of the poll in nepean showed more commitment from voters 65 and above. lewis was supported by 44.5 per cent of that group, followed by watt at 38.1 per cent and blair at 4.7 per cent, but only 9.4 per cent of seniors were undecided.
that contrasts with the 18-49 demographic, where almost 39 per cent of poll respondents reported being undecided. in that class, lewis was favoured by 25.9 per cent, watt by 17.7 per cent and blair by 10.3 per cent.
macleod was first elected in 2006 in what was then the riding of nepean-carleton, replacing john baird after he jumped to federal politics. she won re-election five more times, including three times in nepean-carleton and twice in the redrawn riding of nepean.
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