“most regions saw modest year-over-year price growth this spring, with quebec in particular outperforming other provinces.
“cautious consumer sentiment in toronto and vancouver – the country’s most expensive housing markets – continued to weigh heavily on national average calculations in our second quarter report.
“these conditions underscore the importance of interpreting national housing trends through a local lens.”
in light of the ongoing trade dispute, soper said royal lepage is modifying its forecast for fourth quarter prices downward slightly to an increase of 3.5 per cent.
“we won’t see that trend here,” binder said.
“we have nearly 2,000 homes for sale. that’s a huge inventory.
“because we have so much supply, that’ll curtail an upswing in prices.”
binder said the sweet spot for home pricing locally is in the $450,000 to $550,000 range.
however, binder said all the elements are there in the market for an uptick in sales once there’s more clarity on the economic front and what it means for the auto industry.
he noted last month had a stronger showing in sales at the higher end of the market.
“the upper end of the market moved up,” binder said.
“about 48 per cent of the market was over the median average ($532,00). we haven’t seen that for a while.
“people who need to move aren’t afraid of doing it.”
soper said with the inventory of homes building and interest rates remaining stable, home affordability is increasing. aggregate home prices have also declined 3.6 per cent from their peak during the covid pandemic.
“housing affordability has already begun to improve,” soper said.
“wage growth is outpacing home price gains in many markets and borrowing costs have eased over the past year. but these gains remain fragile – sustainable affordability hinges on our ability to significantly boost canada’s housing supply over the long term.”