i think what’s reassuring by the statement put out by british columbia is that they are saying a minimum of 21 days, which i think leaves the door open to extending that as more information becomes available.
i would expect that these individuals will be tested frequently to determine where or not their is an active infection happening.
but isn’t any kind of contact, on a relatively small ship, close contact?
if we’re talking about a virus like measles that is extraordinarily contagious in normal settings, one person might infect 12 to 15 other people. the data to date suggest the andes virus requires sustained close contact, and not just close, like adjacent room. close, physical contact.
there have (historically) been relatively few human cases of this virus and even fewer where the evidence has been for human-to-human transmission, rather than rodent-to-human transmission. there are a lot of questions about how efficient is airborne contact versus contact that actually requires direct exposure to bodily fluids or contaminated surfaces, for example.
do we know what the reproductive number is for the andes strain — how many people each infected person can go on to infect?
based on previous outbreaks, it seems to be the case that, at a maximum, it’s one to two and, in many cases, it’s lower than one which is why these infections have fizzled out. as soon as the (reproductive number) sinks below one, an outbreak can’t sustain itself anymore.
port vessels accompany the mv hondius as it departs the granadilla port after all passengers were evacuated on may 11, 2026 in tenerife, part of the canary islands, spain.
chris mcgrath
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getty images
what’s the distinction between quarantine and self-isolation?
in the most extreme forms of quarantine you might be in something like an isolation unit at a hospital or in some sort of health-care facility. individuals would have to enter your room in personal protective equipment — gowns, masks. for nasty viruses like ebola people might even wear suits that have dedicated air flow. that’s an extreme form of quarantine for viruses that are known to be both highly contagious and high virulent (meaning) of high consequence, likely to induce severe disease.